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Fit to Predict

Fit to Predict

Explore the data, choose the distribution, validate it, predict, and recommend.

Case –/10 Score 0/100 Free hint 1
Professor Stick says

Ten cases, each with 100 real-looking measurements. Work through them the way the class decision map does: understand the data, pick a distribution, test it, predict, then recommend.

  1. Explore: choose how to look at the data first.
  2. Candidate: Normal, Exponential, Weibull, Lognormal, Binomial, or Poisson?
  3. Validate: pick the right plot and goodness-of-fit test.
  4. Predict: CDF, complement (1 − CDF), interval, or inverse CDF?
  5. Recommend: make the engineering call from the numbers.

Each step is worth 2 points (10 per case, 100 per game). A right answer on the first try earns 2 points; on the second try it earns 1. A wrong answer shows the hint, and after two wrong answers the answer is revealed. Each correct step adds real results (charts, fits, and test p-values) to the case file. You get 1 free hint per game; after that, each hint you ask for costs 1 point.

Keys: 1–6 choose · H hint · Enter continue